Top 5 Keepers
5- Drew Brees- Did throw a career-high 22 picks in 2010, but did throw for 4620 yards and 33 touchdowns. A recovered offensive line, which was among the NFL's best in 2009, should help his numbers, which has averaged over 4500 yards and 31 touchdowns per year to go along with a 67% completion percentage since arriving in the Bayou in 2006.
4- Peyton Manning- Injuries and an aging offensive line has caused a small decline for Manning, but has still managed to start every Colts game since 1998 and has thrown for 4000 or more yards in 11 of his 13 NFL seasons and has thrown 30 touchdown passes in 4 of the last 5 years.
3- Matt Ryan- A guy who reminds me of a young Brady or Manning, set career-highs in touchdowns and yards as well as a career low in interceptions. Julio Jones should only help those numbers.
2- Philip Rivers- Had a career year in 2010 setting career highs in completions, completion percentage, and passing yards while throwing 30 touchdowns. Having started every Chargers game since 2006, he might be the most overlooked QB in the league.
1- Tom Brady- It's hard to envision how Brady can be any better than he was last year, but could be just that with a full season with Mankins at the left guard, the addition of a deep threat in Ochocinco, a fully healthy Welker, and the best running game on paper since the Corey Dillon era in New England.
Top 5 Guys to Avoid
5- David Garrard- Did throw a career-high 23 touchdown passes in 2010, but the interceptions spiked to 15 in 2010 from 10 in 2009, and the yards went down to 2734 in 2010 from 3597 in 2009. Also 33 years old and could lose the Jags starting job to first-round pick Blaine Gabbert by season's end.
4- Ben Roethlisberger- Notorious for hangover years (only years of not making playoffs came post-Super Bowl years), I would avoid him at all costs. In his defense, however, he did have his only 4000-yard season in 2009, following the Super Bowl 43 run.
3- Sam Bradford- The history of second-year quarterbacks is very discouraging, I'd pass on him and save him for future years.
2- Eli Manning- Has thrown for 4000 yards in each of the last two seasons, but his poor decision making (39 INTs in last 2 years), turns me away.
1- Jay Cutler- A guy who has not lived up to expectations in Chicago despite leading the Bears to the NFC Championship game, has thrown 42 interceptions and been sacked 87 times in his two years in Chicago, which is a combination of poor decision making on Cutler's part and an atrocious Bears offensive line.
Top 5 Steals
5- Kevin Kolb- With an underrated offensive line and one of the best wideouts in football in Larry Fitzgerald, Kolb could raise many eyebrows with his first year as a full-time starter in the desert.
4- Matthew Stafford- With an improving offensive line and an arsenal of weapons, Stafford could put up monster numbers, all given that he stays healthy.
3- Josh Freeman- Quietly had one of the best years of any QB in the NFL, throwing just 6 picks to 25 touchdowns and just under 3500 yards. The leader of what is an ever-talented young group in Tampa Bay.
2- Tony Romo- Has taken some unfair heat for the Cowboys struggles in big games, but should be as motivated as ever coming off a year in which he played just 6 games, after having a career year in 2009.
1- Donovan McNabb- Coming to a Minnesota team that is just 19 months removed from the NFC Championship game, with weapons that McNabb has never had.
Tuesday: Running Backs
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