Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Fantasy Football Preview: The Running Backs

Day 2 of my 6-day fantasy football preview, and today I will take a look at the fantasy RB market, looking at the keepers, the sleepers, and guys you should avoid all together.

Top 5 Keepers
5- Jamaal Charles- Was second in the NFL with 1467 rushing yards and had 6.4 yards per carry in 2010.  Should take more of the load this year from Thomas Jones, who turns 33 during training camp.

4- Arian Foster- Was with no doubt the surprise of 2010, leading the NFL in rushing yards, touchdowns, and yards per game.  Should follow that up with a solid 2011 campaign.

3- Chris Johnson- A 2,000 yard rusher in 2009, rushed for 1364 yards last season.  Should have a bounce back year as he lobbies for a new contract.

2- Michael Turner- Has 3941 rushing yards on 888 carries and 39 touchdowns while averaging just under 4.5 YPC since coming to Atlanta.  If he stays healthy, you can bank on 1200 yards and 10 touchdowns.

1- Ray Rice- Has averaged over 4.5 yards per carry since becoming a full-time starter in Baltimore as well as a 1200-yard runner in each of the last two seasons.  Touchdown numbers should go up with Willis McGahee no longer on the team.

Top 5 Guys to Avoid
5- Frank Gore- Carries have gone down every year since 2006, had a career-low 4.2 yards per carry and failed to reach 1000 rushing yards for the first time since 2005.

4- Ryan Torain- Take out the games with 100, 125, and 172 yards, his highest total was 70.

3- Cedric Benson- The Bengals are a mess, Benson has had some off-the-field issues that may warrant a suspension, and his yards per carry went down to 3.5 from 4.2.

2- Matt Forte- Hard to put money on a Bears running back given their offensive line issues.

1- Darren McFadden- The loss of Robert Gallery adversely affects that Oakland offense in addition to the coaching change.  Don't bank on another 1157 yard season.

Top 5 Steals
5- LaGarrette Blount- Averaged 5.0 yards a carry and had 1000 yards in his rookie season, all on just 201 carries.

4- CJ Spiller- Had just 74 carries as a rookie.  Should expect more in his second season as a top-10 pick.

3- BenJarvus Green-Ellis- Averaged 53 yards per game prior to Logan Mankins' return to the team; had 71 per game after.  Should be interesting to see how many he will get with a full season.

2- Maurice Jones-Drew- Had 1324 yards in just 14 games.  Flies under the radar playing for Jacksonville.

1- Mark Ingram- People seem to forget he won the Heisman just under two years ago.  Couldn't be in a better situation than New Orleans; my pick for Offensive Rookie of the Year.

Wednesday: Wide-Receivers

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