Thursday, August 18, 2011

Fantasy Football: Wide Receivers

Day 3 of my 6-day fantasy football preview, and today I will take a look at the fantasy WR market, looking at the keepers, the sleepers, and guys you should avoid all together.

Top 5 Keepers
5- Greg Jennings- The leading receiver for the World Champion Packers, has had 1200 receiving yards in 2 of the last 3 seasons and tied a career-high with 12 touchdowns.


4- Brandon Lloyd- Had a breakout year with Denver in his 8th NFL season, with 1488 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2010.

3- Larry Fitzgerald- Scored just six touchdowns in 2010 after having 12 and 13 in 2008 and 2009, respectively.  Kevin Kolb should help that number after what was a game of musical chairs at the QB position in 2010.

2- Roddy White- Caught a career-high 115 balls from Matt Ryan last year and set a career-high with 1389 receiving yards.  Had 10 touchdowns, 3 of which were of more than 30 yards.

1- Andre Johnson- Played just 13 games last season but still had 1216 yards and led the league for the third time in 4 years with 93.5 yards per game.

Top 5 Guys to Avoid
5- AJ Green- The fourth overall pick in the draft goes into what is a very unstable organization in Cincinnati that has tremendous uncertainty at the quarterback position.

4- Braylon Edwards- Just one time has he cracked the top 20 with position fantasy ranking (2007, 3rd), put him in San Francisco with a rough QB situation and a new coaching staff, it could be a sticky situation.  That being said, he has made quarterbacks look good with his receiving skills (see Mark Sanchez).

3- Dez Bryant- Had only 561 yards but did have 6 touchdowns last season.  There are mumblings of character issues as well.  I like Romo and I like the Cowboys this season, but Bryant is a guy who I'm not on board with this season.

2- Steve Johnson- Had 1000 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns in 2010 but the loss of Lee Evans makes him the primary target in Buffalo, with questions surrounding the quarterback position, despite the success of Ryan Fitzpatrick last season.

1- Brandon Marshall- His yards and approximate value have gone down in each of the last four seasons, and had just 3 touchdowns last year. 

Top 5 Steals
5- Jeremy Maclin- Started every game for Philly in his second season after being drafted in 2009 out of Mizzou, and had 70 receptions (up from 55), 964 yards (up from 762), and 10 touchdowns (up from 4).

4- Chad Ochocinco- Had a rough year in Cincinnati last year, but in New England playing in Tom Brady's system he should flourish.

3- Julio Jones- Has a QB in Matt Ryan that will put him in a position to put up respectable numbers.

2- Wes Welker- In his second year coming off knee surgery and in a contract year, should return to the guy who led the NFL in receptions from 2007 and 2009.

1-Calvin Johnson- Hasn't necessarily lived up to the hype that surrounded him when he was drafted 2nd overall out of Georgia Tech, but given he is with the Lions it's fair to say he has been a victim of circumstance.  If Stafford can stay healthy, he could be the biggest beneficiary of them all.

Next up: Tight Ends

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